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Currency Risk (Exchange-Rate Risk)

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Moneyzine Editor
2 mins
November 6th, 2024
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Currency Risk (Exchange-Rate Risk)

Definition

The term currency risk refers to the relative change in the valuation of two currencies and the impact it has on return on investment. Both investors as well as businesses that own assets in countries with different currencies are exposed to currency risk.

Explanation

Also known as exchange rate risk, currency risk is the potential for a loss (or a gain) due to the relative change in the value of a foreign currency to an investor's or corporation's domestic currency. Companies oftentimes reduce their exposure to currency risk through hedging.

Currency risk arises from a relative change in the valuation of two currencies. For example, when a foreign currency is converted back into a domestic currency, the relative change in these two valuations over time can significantly affect an individual's return on investment or the profitability of a business. Corporations with significant foreign exchange exposure can control this risk through sophisticated hedging techniques. Individual investors can reduce their exposure to this risk by investing in currency Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs). For example, a decline in the original investment due to a change in exchange rates can be offset with a gain on an ETF.

At the onset of any foreign investment, an individual should understand if the country's currency is rising or falling relative to their domestic currency. They should also understand the foreign country's interest rates, which will reflect their state of inflationary pressures.

Example

An investor purchases foreign bonds and at the time of purchase the investor would receive 100 units of their domestic currency annually, resulting in a 10% return on investment. At the time of purchase, 100 units of domestic currency were worth 50 units of the foreign currency.

Over time, the foreign currency weakens against the investor's domestic currency and now 50 units of the foreign currency are worth 70 units of the domestic currency. Payment on the bond is still fixed at 50 units of foreign currency. However, that currency now provides the investor with only 70 units of their domestic currency. In this example, the investor's return has declined now to 7% from the original 10% RIO.

Related Terms

  • Differential (Futures)
    The term differential refers to the allowed flexibility to change the quality of the underlying asset in a futures contract. Differential allows the seller in a futures contract to deliver the underlying asset which adheres to a predetermined range of quality specifications.
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  • Devaluation (Currency)
    The term devaluation refers to the reduction in the value of a currency relative to the currency of another country. Devaluation typically occurs through an official announcement and the process is a tool governments can use to control monetary policy.
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  • Deliverable Grade
    The term deliverable grade refers to the minimum quality of a commodity delivered under a futures contract. The specifications for deliverable grades are critical to the pricing of a contract.
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  • Default (Investing)
    The term default refers to the failure to meet an obligation on a loan or futures contract. Default occurs when a debtor fails to repay the interest and / or principal owed a lender.
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  • Daily Trading Limit
    The term daily trading limit refers to the maximum range a derivative contract is permitted to trade in any one daily session. Daily trading limits are established by the exchange to protect against market manipulation.
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  • Credit Derivative
    The term credit derivative refers to an agreement that moves credit risk from one party to the other. Credit derivatives were originally used by participants in the banking industry to diversify the credit risk of customers in their lending portfolio.
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  • Closing Range
    The term closing range refers to the high and low price at which trades occurred at the close of the exchange. The closing range would include both bid and offer prices.
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