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Swing Trading

Hristina Nikolovska
Author: 
Hristina Nikolovska
Idil Woodall
Editor: 
Idil Woodall
12 mins
September 21st, 2023
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The investing term swing trading refers to individuals who buy securities intending to capture gains in a matter of days or weeks. A swing trader looks to profit from stocks, options, and futures contracts exhibiting short-term price momentum.

Swing Trading Explained

As with day traders, swing traders tend to rely on technical analysis, as opposed to fundamental analysis, when making decisions. Also known as momentum trading, swing traders focus on the price of securities, looking for near-term trends. When selecting securities, they study fundamentals such as earnings growth projections, profitability, and leverage ratios.

The profit timeframe for swing traders is usually stated in days or weeks, unlike day traders, who close out all positions before the market closes. This approach is considered less time-consuming than day trading, which requires the constant monitoring of market conditions to capture profits.

In fact, swing trading stocks can potentially offer higher profit margins compared to other forms of trading due to the shorter holding period and focus on capturing market swings within a trend.

The technique allows investors to profit from both upward price movements by buying shares or call options and downward price movements by purchasing puts or shorting stocks.

Profits rely on ‘timing the market,’ which is at odds with efficient market theories such as the random walk hypothesis. The technique also results in paying high trading commissions and fees relative to position trading, which can lower investment returns.

Pros and Cons of Swing Trading

Pros
  • Potential for capturing short to medium term price trends
  • Ability to take advantage of short term price fluctuations
  • Reduced transaction costs compared to frequent trading strategies
  • Flexibility in terms of time commitment
Cons
  • Exposure to market risk and volatility
  • Overnight risk, as positions are held overnight
  • Holding periods may tie up capital for an extended period
  • Requires emotional discipline to stick to trading plans

Swing Trading Considerations

Securities

As is the case for any trading style, choosing the right securities is very important for swing trading. Swing traders profit by capturing short-term price movements in the market, which is why they typically consider securities with the following characteristics:

  • High liquidity found in actively traded stocks ensures easy entry and exit from positions without significant slippage. When a security has a substantial number of buyers and sellers in the market, it is considered highly liquid, allowing tight bid-ask spreads and smooth trade execution.

  • High volatility allows for larger price swings within a shorter time frame, creating more trading opportunities for swing traders to profit from short-term price movements.

  • Consistent trading range where securities exhibit a well-defined pattern of support and resistance levels allows traders to set specific price targets, manage risk, and determine optimal entry and exit points for their trades.

While several trading instruments allow swing trade, like ETFs, forex trading, options, and futures, large-cap stocks are the most commonly traded security on the market and an ideal choice for swing trading.

They are usually among the most actively traded stocks and therefore have high transaction volumes, which indicates active participation and interest from traders, leading to ample trading opportunities.

Moreover, large-cap stocks tend to exhibit volatility that allows for larger price swings within a shorter time frame, which swing traders can use to profit from short-term price fluctuations through well-timed entries and exits.

Market

In addition to finding the right stock, swing traders also consider the overall market conditions and trends as they significantly impact individual stocks and their price movements. Depending on the current market environment, they adjust their strategy accordingly and take a different approach in different market directions.

Swing trading during bear market conditions

Bear markets are characterized by overall negative sentiment and downward price trends, so it is only natural that swing traders may face some difficulties during one. When the prices decrease in the long term, buying, holding, and expecting appreciation doesn’t make much sense.

Which is why most swing traders take the following actions to adapt to bear market conditions

  • Hold on to their cash – They avoid potential losses by not placing trades and preserving their capital for when the market directions turn.

  • Reduce their holding periods – Generating profits from smaller stock price swings is possible even in a declining market, so they shorten their trade period to capitalize on short-term price movements.

  • Shift to put options – They make the most of downward price movements by selling securities first and buying them back later.

Overall, the bear market is a challenging environment for swing traders, so they take a more cautious and conservative approach to safeguard their financial positions during it.

Swing trading during bull market conditions

Bull markets, on the other hand, present a considerably more opportunistic environment for swing traders. When the market's general direction is upward and prices are on the rise, it can be easier to identify securities that can be bought and sold for profit a while later.

Having said that, there are still some considerations that successful swing traders keep in mind when trading on bullish market conditions

  • Prices are higher – Due to increased demand and positive investor sentiment, entry points tend to be more expensive during bull markets, and traders must be ready to pay the price.

  • Leverage is risky – While leverage can be a great tool to amplify profits during bullish market conditions, it can also cause devastating losses. Hence, only traders with the necessary risk tolerance consider using it.

  • It is easy to get carried away – There’s a common saying among traders that bad habits are developed in bullish markets. Their positive momentum can lead traders to impulsive decision-making and deviate from their trading strategies.

Successful swing traders stay disciplined, avoid being swayed by market euphoria, and make informed decisions based on analysis to navigate bull markets successfully.

Swing trading during in-between market conditions

Finally, swing trading during in-between market conditions, characterized by volatility and uncertainty, can provide the largest number of opportunities for swing traders. Transitioning markets are known for their fluctuating nature and offer the best positions swing traders can capitalize on.

Here are the leading three benefits swing traders take advantage of during in-between markets

  • Optimal volatility – Swing traders thrive in market conditions that exhibit volatility in both directions, as it provides the best opportunities. In contrast, markets with one-sided volatility, such as bull or bear markets, can present more challenges for executing successful swing trades.

  • Diverse trade options – Due to the mixed price trends and fluctuations across different sectors, in-between markets offer swing traders a more comprehensive range of trade options. Swing traders use this diversity to explore various trading opportunities and adapt their strategies to market fluctuations.

  • Safety in neutral conditions – If a trade doesn't go as planned during in-between markets, the neutral conditions tend to minimize losses compared to strong downtrend conditions. Prices are often more likely to rebound, offering potential recovery for swing traders.

All in all, while swing traders find the most prospects in uncertain market environments, they can achieve favorable results in most market conditions with a few adjustments to their strategy.

Swing Trading Strategies

Swing trading strategies are complex as they encompass a variety of approaches that traders can employ to maximize their chances of success. Here are brief summaries of a few popular strategies used by swing traders.

Fibonacci Retracements

Since stocks tend to retrace a certain percentage within a trend before reversing, traders can identify potential levels of support and resistance by using stock charts and Fibonacci retracements.

By plotting horizontal lines at key Fibonacci ratios (such as 23.6%, 38.2%, and 61.8%), traders can pinpoint potential reversal points.

For example, if a stock is in a downtrend and retraces to the 61.8% level, acting as a resistance, a swing trader may enter a short-term sell position. They aim to exit the trade for a profit when the price drops and bounces off the 23.6% Fibonacci line, acting as a support level.

Channel Trading

Channel trading is a common swing trading strategy where traders look for stocks with a strong trend and trade within a channel. A channel is formed by drawing parallel lines around the price action, encompassing the upper and lower boundaries of the stock's movement.

In channel trading, it's essential to trade with the trend. For example, in a bearish trend, swing traders would consider opening a sell position when the price bounces down off the top line of the channel.

This allows swing traders to take advantage of price movements within the defined boundaries of the channel, providing clear entry and exit points based on the channel's upper and lower lines. By trading with the trend and using channel boundaries as reference points, swing traders can aim to capture profits from price swings within the established channel.

MACD Crossover

The MACD crossover system is one of the most popular and widely used swing trading strategies due to its simplicity and effectiveness. Traders who utilize this method focus on two moving averages to identify potential trade signals, the MACD line and the signal line.

A bullish signal is generated when the MACD line crosses above the signal line, indicating upward momentum and a potential buy trade. Conversely, a bearish signal is generated when the MACD line crosses below the signal line, indicating downward momentum and potential sell trade.

When the lines cross again in the opposite direction, it signals traders to exit their current position. This way, traders avoid premature exits and maximize their gains. By focusing on the interaction between these two lines, traders can quickly identify potential trend reversals and capitalize on market movements.

Swing Trading Strategy Example

Let’s say a swing trader wants to make a profitable trade in XYZ stock. They analyze the price chart and identify a bullish consolidation pattern known as a "bull flag." The flagpole of the pattern represents a strong upward move, while the flag itself consists of a downward-sloping consolidation.

The swing trader decides to enter the trade when the price breaks out above the flag pattern. The breakout occurs at $50 per share, which serves as the entry point. To manage risk, they set a stop-loss order at the bottom of the flag pattern, which is $45 per share.

Assuming a recommended reward/risk ratio of 2:1, the swing trader aims to achieve a profit that is twice the amount of their potential loss. In this case, their risk is $5 per share ($50 - $45 = $5).

Therefore, the swing trader targets a profit of $10 per share ($5 x 2 = $10) above the entry price. This means they would look to sell the stock at $60 per share ($50 + $10 = $60) to achieve their desired reward.

Based on their analysis and risk management, the swing trader enters the trade at $50 per share, sets a stop-loss at $45 per share to limit potential losses, and sets a profit target at $60 per share to secure a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.

Swing Trading vs. Day Trading

While both swing trading and day trading are aimed at turning profits from short-term price movements, the biggest distinction between the two is the holding period and time horizon of their trades.

Day traders aim to capitalize on short-term price fluctuations within the same trading day. They enter and exit positions quickly, usually within minutes to hours. Day trading is a full-time job that often requires the execution of multiple trades throughout the day and closing them before the market closes.

On the other hand, swing traders have a notably longer time horizon and often hold positions for several days and even weeks. Their goal is to capture larger price movements and ride the intermediate-term trends of the market. Unlike day traders, swing traders do not need to constantly monitor the market throughout the day. They have more flexibility and can execute trades based on their analysis and predetermined entry and exit points.

Day TradingSwing Trading
Time HorizonShort-termIntermediate-term
Holding PeriodWithin the same trading daySeveral days to weeks
Trading FrequencyHighModerate
Time to TradeRequires significant time commitmentRequires less time commitment
Price MovementsCapitalizes on short-term fluctuationsCaptures larger price movements and trends
ProfitsCan generate quick profits or lossesMay yield larger profits, but over a longer time
CostsPotentially high due to frequent tradingPotentially lower due to fewer trades
Risk LevelHigher risk due to rapid trading and volatilityLower risk due to longer holding periods

FAQ

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Contributors

Hristina Nikolovska
Hristina Nikolovska, a graduate of the University of Lodz, is a skilled finance writer for MoneyZine.com. With a knack for simplifying intricate financial topics, her articles provide readers with clear and actionable insights.
Idil Woodall
Idil is a writer with interests ranging from arts and politics to history and finance. She spent several years in publishing before becoming a full-time writer, and learning the inner workings of an industry she loved ignited her interest in economics. As an English graduate, she cultivated valuable research and storytelling abilities that she now applies to make complex matters accessible and understandable to many. When she’s not writing, she can be found climbing or watching a movie.
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