Moneyzine
/Investment Guides /Risk of Ruin Calculator

Risk of Ruin Calculator

Moneyzine Editor
Author: 
Moneyzine Editor
2 mins
October 4th, 2023
Advertiser Disclosure

This online tool is able to calculate the risk of ruin, which is also referred to as a drawdown calculation. The calculator takes into consideration the funds placed at risk, the dollars per transaction, the investor's threshold for ruin, as well as their probability of a positive outcome.

Calculator Definitions

The variables used in our online calculator are defined in detail below, including how to interpret the results.

Total Funds at Risk ($)

This is the total dollars the investor is willing to place at risk, which may be a dedicated portfolio of securities.

Funds at Risk per Transaction ($)

This is the dollars placed at risk during each transaction. For example, if the investor is able to lose $2,000 per transaction, then that is the value to enter in this cell.

Threshold for Ruin ($)

The threshold for ruin is the value at which the investor would consider the portfolio lost. For example, the investor might have $100,000 in the portfolio and is willing to lose up to $40,000 (drawdown) before the portfolio is considered failed. In this example, the Threshold for Ruin is $60,000.

The Probability of a Win (%) / The Probability of a Loss (%)

This value represents the likelihood of a good outcome for each transaction. If a trader is successful 52% of the time when conducting a transaction, then the probability of a win is 52%. Conversely, the probability of a loss would be 100% - 52%, or 48%.

Risk of Ruin (%)

Given the variables entered into this calculator, this is the likelihood the portfolio would reach a state of ruin. For example, if the Total Funds at Risk were $100,000, the Funds at Risk per Transaction were $2,000, and the Probability of a Win is 52%, the investor has a 20% chance the portfolio would be considered ruined.


Risk of Ruin Calculator - Money-Zine.com


Disclaimer: These calculators are made available and meant to be used as a screening tool for the investor. The accuracy of these calculator results is not guaranteed nor is its applicability to your individual circumstances. You should always obtain personal advice from qualified professionals.

Related Content

  • What Can Help You Meet Your Budget While Shopping for Important Items?
    Budgeting while ensuring you don't compromise on quality can seem daunting. Whether filling your pantry, updating your wardrobe, or keeping up with the latest tech, smart shopping strategies are crucial for keeping your finances in check.
    April 2nd, 2024
  • How to Make a Million Dollars in 10 Years
    Truthfully, this title should actually be “How to Make a Million Dollars in 10 Years Without Going Into Debt", but that is just getting a little too winded for my liking. It’s true though!
    March 26th, 2024
  • How to Apply Maslow’s Hierarchy to Your Money This Year
    You might vaguely remember your psychology teacher talking about Maslow. He pointed at a picture of a triangle as you nodded off in the back of the school room.
    March 27th, 2024
  • How to Tackle Multiple Savings Goals
    When there’s only so much money to go around, there are often multiple savings goals competing for your money. Think of the young professional who’d like to get a more reliable car, buy a house, and save for retirement. Or consider the young family that’s saving for college, retirement, and a bigger house.
    March 22nd, 2024
  • The Countdown to Early Retirement: 10 Expenses to Eliminate
    Dreaming of waving goodbye to the daily grind five years ahead of schedule? The road to early retirement is paved with more than good intentions; it requires a meticulously crafted strategy with surprising twists. It's not solely about what you should be doing—like diligently saving a portion of your income or investing wisely—but also about what you need to stop doing.
    March 22nd, 2024

Contributors

Moneyzine 2024. All Rights Reserved.